14/4/11 PRU10-A DYNAMIC MATHEMATIC

(This photo is taken on 18th April, 2011. Basically, the lady is counting every stalk of paddy she is harvesting, as if counting her family every day fate. That fate, if in Carlifornia and or Japan, is counted by a combine harvester. What a pitty, her life remain 'simply hard' to this day!)

At the Secondary Education level, for the Malaysian students, especially those in the Science Stream, they are not only to take up Additional and Modern Math, in the past, during my time, we also have to learn Dynamic Mathematic and Physic. This is a Math subject that is very usefull for one to get into the Engineering discipline. The subject involves the application of calculus and all those applied math especially in the area of trigonometry and many others to formulate various invention dynamism eg calculation of the volume of material to construct a Pyramid (cone).

(2) In the world of Economic, today the same Dynamic Math or even the Dynamic Physic are being applied in the Economic Forecasting and or even in Urban and Transport Planning. The Newton's Relativity Theory of g=ma for instance had been broadly applied in Market Analysis in setting up of hypermarkets especially in America.

(3) Nonetheless, I have yet seen the application of this Dynamic Math and Physic in Political Science. In the past State PRU10 election, I would say, many people just applied Simple Calculus in most of their analysis, especially for personality such as Khairy Jamalludin of UMNO and Gan of MCA.

(4) Both of them seem scary with the figure won by DAP (13), PKR (1) and Independent (2), making only 55 seats won by BN reducing from the past 65 of PRU9. In simple Aljebra or Calculus, that indicates BN vote declined by 18% while the Opposition and Independent increased by 266%. Thus, they both call for the immediate resignation of Taib Mahmud. It sound logical in Aljebra-sense, the simple calculus, the simplistic calculation!

(5) What about if one test Khairi and Gan hypothesis, from the Dynamic Math and Physic point of view? I called their view as hypothesis since it has not been tested scientifically (in scinetific sense, not art approach). Same I would say applied to the hypothesis made by Jeniri Amir, the Senior UNIMAS lecturer, for the Sarawakians to see Abang Zohari to take the leadership of Sarawak's Cabinet.

(6) Let us go back to the simple 55 statistic won by BN. Out of this 55, I would believe, 28 are non-Malay native seats. Out of the 16 seats won by DAP, PKR and Independent, for sure 3 are in the hands of the non-Malay native. Thus all in all, there are 31 out of 71 seats in the last PRU13 are within the non-Malay native hands. 15 seats are purely in the hand of the Chinese be it SUPP (2) or DAP (13).

(7) Now the game plan of Dynamic Mathematic or Physic will need to come in if a power shift must be taking place in the Sarawak State Cabinet, immediately as being called especially by those incline to Khairy and Gan (I believe the two are not on their own both at Federal and State level). Both are calling for Taib Mahmud to immediately resign, but there must also calculation among certain quarters, why must then it stop only at Taib resignation. Definitely, requirement beyond such call may also appears in some quaters mind.

I. Assumption Setting:

Let take the Physic Theory of Relativity: g=ma

(i) Now let designate that g as Government of Sarawak (GOS) ie the Formation of a Government, assuming the Top Post in the Government ie the Chief Minister position. In physic, that g is gravity ie equal to 10sq m/second meaning an object of 1Kg (m) will fall at the acceleration (a) of 10 m/second.

(ii) The letter m in the equation, in physic is a denomination of mass in kilogram, kg. Here probably we take it as number of seats own by the individual or collective political parties, and let designate that as V

(iii) Then letter a, which is acceleration as in physic and math, and here I would denote that as Political Agenda. Political agenda could varied, but for standardization purpose, let now focus to Economic Development Welbing for the people, and say we designate that as E, which is a constant, say 1

Now that g=ma could now be written as GOS= VE

II. Application of Dynamic Math of Physic.

(a) Scenario I: The Malay Bumiputera component of PBB to lead (25 representatives)

Then GOS = VE= (25)(1)=25, which is impossible. At least, the 10 representatives of Pesaka (PBB), plus the additional, say two Chinese representative in SUPP have to come in to make the GOS a simple majority, which will make GOS=(35+2)(1)=37. If this scenario is going to happen, then the E factor would never be a constant anymore, and definitely there be biased and victimization all along the way. If this happen, then Sarawak will never be a peacefull State anymore, we might bring down Malaysian economy to stagnant or decline. Just remember what Mustpha Mohammad, MITI had said about the possible economic effect of the current Japan tsunami, Arabian unrest and American economic slow down. In three months time, we will feel the heat.

(b) Scenario II: Non-Malay Native to lead.

Then GOS = VE= (10+8+6+4)(1)=28 which still lacking the simple majority. Say, they could bring in the other PKR (2) and Independent (1), thus making the figure now 31. Still they lack another 5 representatives to get to the simple majority of 36. Who would they take in? SUPP or DAP? SUPP has only two left, but DAP has 13. Can they just say take 5 from such figure, definitely look impossible. Say they managed to bring in 13 DAP, now would the GOS=VE would be still (10+8+6+4), would it now not becaomeing (10+8+6+4+13). Thing definitely would becoming very complex, and probably no Aljebra or Calculus equation could resolve the issue.

(8) Our choice, Sarawakian choices, in actual fact, the g or GOS in the formula, should very much be seen not purely from the m or V perspective, but the focus or changes must be in the a or E aspect. I would say, let whoever occupy the GOS position, the immediate task is to relook at the State Economic Development Agenda seriously from the need of the current and future generation perspective.

(9) I would believe, the current State Macro-economic Development Policy had neglected the immediate need of the people ie equitable achievement of the present with the dire need to sustain better living into the future. For instance, Private Plantation Development is great, and that is good for those at the better educational level. Similarly with the SCORE. So what is there for the immediate benefit of the disadvantage rural folks? How do we have to workout to take care of our pressing socio-economic development needs: water, electricity, road, food, health care and education, among our rural population?

(10) Equally pressing, what is there for the lower middle and lower income earners in the cities or towns. Basically, they need numerative employment to take care of the ever rising cost of living. This issue can't be left to the open market to resolve, serious government intervention is badly call for.

(11) To me, to Khairi and Gan and all those alike, the glitch experienced by the State Government in the past State PRU10, is not about Taib Mahmud have to immediate leave, it is about our need to relook at our Macro-economic Development Policy. I believe the same was faced by Mahathir when he began to ignore the Agriculture and Rural Development Sector while rushing for Industrialisation during 10-15 years within his 22years leadership.

(12) Let me just recall, Umar Ibn Khattab began to have a good grip of his conquest when he emphasized on agricultural development, focussing on food production for his ever rising converts. Same goes with the Pharaoh in 5,000BC. Ghaffar Baba, and even Tun Abdul Razak choose to emphasize on rural development and modernization to twarft the Malays anger and as well as the Communist insurgency in the post-independent era. Even when Allah talks about heaven, He describes heaven is a place full of nice stream of milks, honey, clean water, foods and gardens. He didn't talks about skyscrappers etc. What does all these mean?

Kuching, Sarawak
24 April, 2011